Brazil vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.1%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
BEL
1 - 2
BRA
27%
28%
45%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
3 - 0
AUS
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1988 |
BRA
5 - 2
ARG
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
AUT
0 - 2
BRA
29%
28%
43%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1988 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRA
15%
26%
59%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1988 |
ECU
4 - 3
CHI
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1988 |
ECU
1 - 2
URU
32%
30%
38%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1988 |
CHI
3 - 1
ECU
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
ECU
1 - 5
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |