Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 1
URY
75%
16%
9%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 3
BRA
5%
14%
81%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
PER
83%
12%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
BRA
8%
16%
76%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
60%
23%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
URY
0 - 0
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
PRY
1 - 1
COL
22%
26%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |