Belarus vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CZE
2 - 0
BLR
92%
6%
2%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
BLR
0 - 2
AUT
19%
21%
60%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NLD
3 - 0
BLR
95%
5%
1%
|
77 | 98 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
LVA
2 - 4
BLR
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
UKR
0 - 2
BLR
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
ISR
0 - 0
MDA
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
GEO
2 - 2
MDA
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
HUN
1 - 1
MDA
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MDA
0 - 2
CZE
12%
23%
65%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
AUT
2 - 0
MDA
91%
7%
2%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |