WC Qual. CONCACAF Second Round Round 4

Bermuda vs Cayman Islands analysis

Bermuda Cayman Islands
49 ELO 29
8.4% Tilt 11.6%
4905º General ELO ranking 8981º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
78.3%
Bermuda
13.8%
Draw
7.9%
Cayman Islands

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
Bermuda
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.9%
Win probability
Cayman Islands
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bermuda
-5%
-5%
Cayman Islands

ELO progression

Bermuda
Cayman Islands
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bermuda
Bermuda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2025
HND
Honduras
2 - 0
Bermuda
BMU
77%
15%
8%
49 77 28 0
22 Mar. 2025
BMU
Bermuda
3 - 5
Honduras
HND
12%
20%
68%
50 77 27 -1
20 Nov. 2024
DOM
Dominican Republic
6 - 1
Bermuda
BMU
52%
23%
26%
51 56 5 -1
16 Nov. 2024
BMU
Bermuda
2 - 1
Antigua and Barbuda
ATG
62%
19%
19%
50 40 10 +1
16 Oct. 2024
BMU
Bermuda
3 - 2
Dominica
DMA
69%
18%
13%
50 39 11 0

Matches

Cayman Islands
Cayman Islands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2024
GLP
Guadalupe
1 - 0
Cayman Islands
CYM
78%
15%
7%
30 58 28 0
15 Nov. 2024
CYM
Cayman Islands
0 - 6
Guadalupe
GLP
11%
18%
71%
30 58 28 0
15 Oct. 2024
KNA
Saint Kitts and Nevis
1 - 1
Cayman Islands
CYM
68%
19%
13%
30 49 19 0
12 Oct. 2024
CYM
Cayman Islands
1 - 0
British Virgin Islands
VGB
74%
15%
11%
30 12 18 0
07 Sep. 2024
CYM
Cayman Islands
1 - 4
Saint Kitts and Nevis
KNA
14%
19%
67%
31 48 17 -1