Belgium vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1951 |
BEL
0 - 5
SCO
45%
21%
34%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
NED
5 - 4
BEL
62%
18%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
BEL
7 - 2
NED
55%
19%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1950 |
FRA
3 - 3
BEL
60%
18%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
57%
19%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 3
SUI
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1950 |
SWE
3 - 1
ESP
72%
15%
14%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
6 - 1
ESP
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 1950 |
URU
2 - 2
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
42%
21%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |