Austria vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
NIR
1 - 2
AUT
25%
23%
51%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 0
BIH
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
DNK
2 - 0
AUT
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 0
NIR
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
BIH
1 - 0
AUT
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
PRT
1 - 1
POL
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
CZE
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
POL
2 - 3
PRT
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
POL
1 - 1
IRL
56%
24%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |