Austria vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
AUT
1 - 0
IRL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
AUT
0 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 0
AUT
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 3
AUT
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
NED
2 - 2
HUN
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1966 |
SCO
0 - 3
NED
71%
17%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
NED
2 - 4
BRD
35%
24%
42%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |