Armenia vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
55.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
GEO
7 - 0
ARM
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1997 |
PRY
2 - 0
ARM
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
CHL
7 - 0
ARM
90%
8%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARM
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ARM
1 - 5
DEU
10%
23%
67%
|
69 | 93 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
UKR
2 - 1
NIR
44%
27%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
NIR
0 - 0
PRT
34%
30%
36%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1997 |
NIR
3 - 0
BEL
32%
29%
40%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
ITA
2 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
8%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
NIR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |