Armenia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 0
ARM
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
ARM
83%
13%
3%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 1
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 1
DEN
12%
20%
68%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
CZE
1 - 2
ARM
83%
13%
4%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRQ
3 - 1
CHN
28%
25%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
IRQ
2 - 0
PRK
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2013 |
IRQ
0 - 0
OMA
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
BHR
0 - 0
IRQ
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
IDN
0 - 2
IRQ
18%
22%
61%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |