Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
ARG
12%
22%
66%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
PRY
84%
11%
4%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 3
ARG
5%
17%
78%
|
96 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
IDN
0 - 2
ARG
4%
15%
81%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
URY
2 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
URY
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ECU
2 - 1
URY
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
URY
3 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
URY
2 - 0
CUB
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 57 | 34 | 0 |