Argentina vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1969 |
PER
1 - 0
ARG
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 1
ARG
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1969 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1969 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARG
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PER
3 - 0
BOL
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 1
PER
40%
22%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1969 |
PER
1 - 0
ARG
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1969 |
PER
2 - 1
PRY
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1969 |
PER
2 - 1
PRY
52%
22%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |