Argentina vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
ARG
35%
26%
39%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ARG
3 - 0
GTM
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 3
ARG
50%
24%
27%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
NGA
1 - 2
ARG
19%
23%
59%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 3
HRV
59%
22%
20%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
KWT
2 - 2
IRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
IRQ
0 - 0
PSE
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
IRQ
1 - 1
SYR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
IRQ
2 - 3
QAT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
IRQ
4 - 1
SAU
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |