Argentina vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 4
ARG
10%
18%
73%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
PRY
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
URY
57%
22%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
URY
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
VEN
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |