Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 4
ARG
21%
23%
57%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ARG
4 - 1
VEN
84%
12%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
86%
11%
4%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ARG
5 - 0
PAN
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 7
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
CHL
4 - 2
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CHL
2 - 1
BOL
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |