Algeria vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 2
DZA
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
NER
0 - 1
DZA
12%
25%
63%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
DZA
2 - 1
NER
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DZA
0 - 0
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
DZA
5 - 0
NER
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GNQ
1 - 0
TUN
16%
27%
57%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
18%
27%
55%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 0
FRA
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
AUS
27%
25%
49%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |