Algeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
DJI
0 - 4
DZA
7%
16%
77%
|
83 | 31 | 52 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
NER
0 - 4
DZA
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
DZA
6 - 1
NER
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BFA
1 - 1
DZA
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
DZA
8 - 0
DJI
93%
6%
1%
|
83 | 32 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
BFA
1 - 1
NER
75%
16%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
BFA
2 - 0
DJI
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 31 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
DJI
0 - 4
BFA
7%
15%
79%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BFA
1 - 1
DZA
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
BFA
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |