Saudi Arabia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
SAU
1 - 1
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
IDN
0 - 6
SAU
11%
19%
69%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
BTN
0 - 4
SAU
4%
14%
82%
|
88 | 35 | 53 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2003 |
YEM
1 - 3
SAU
7%
17%
77%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
SAU
5 - 0
IDN
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
OMN
1 - 0
AZE
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ARE
3 - 3
AZE
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ITA
4 - 0
AZE
93%
7%
1%
|
63 | 98 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
AZE
1 - 2
FIN
16%
26%
58%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
AZE
2 - 1
SCG
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |