Germany vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
DEU
1 - 1
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
3 - 0
SVK
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 1
DEU
4%
11%
85%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
0 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 0
UKR
77%
15%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
5 - 2
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
IRL
69%
20%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 0
FRA
22%
24%
55%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
ALB
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
ROU
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |