Albania vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
50%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
CYP
2 - 1
ALB
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
ALB
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ALB
2 - 1
ISL
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ALB
2 - 1
SWE
15%
25%
60%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ALB
2 - 0
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
CZE
0 - 0
GRC
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
PRT
0 - 1
GRC
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 0
CZE
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 1
GRC
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
RUS
2 - 1
GRC
49%
24%
27%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |