Liga do Nordeste Group Stages Round 1

SD Juazeirense vs Ceará analysis

SD Juazeirense Ceará
53 ELO 85
-22.4% Tilt -8.6%
4045º General ELO ranking 126º
119º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
9.9%
SD Juazeirense
21.6%
Draw
68.5%
Ceará

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
SD Juazeirense
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
68.5%
Win probability
Ceará
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SD Juazeirense
-15%
-8%
Ceará

ELO progression

SD Juazeirense
Ceará
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SD Juazeirense
SD Juazeirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2024
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
1 - 1
Itabuna
ITA
8%
21%
71%
53 61 8 0
28 Jan. 2024
VIT
Vitória
3 - 0
SD Juazeirense
SDJ
76%
17%
7%
53 79 26 0
25 Jan. 2024
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
2 - 0
Jequié
JEQ
52%
25%
23%
53 47 6 0
21 Jan. 2024
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
2 - 1
Jacuipense
JAC
27%
26%
47%
52 56 4 +1
17 Jan. 2024
BAR
Barcelona BA
0 - 0
SD Juazeirense
SDJ
19%
21%
60%
52 41 11 0

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2024
CEA
Ceará
6 - 0
Atlético Cearense
UNI
81%
14%
5%
85 49 36 0
27 Jan. 2024
CEA
Ceará
1 - 0
Floresta EC
FLO
85%
12%
3%
88 57 31 -3
21 Jan. 2024
MAR
Maracanã
1 - 1
Ceará
CEA
3%
17%
80%
88 39 49 0
25 Nov. 2023
CEA
Ceará
1 - 3
EC Juventude
JUV
65%
22%
13%
89 82 7 -1
18 Nov. 2023
VIL
Vila Nova
3 - 1
Ceará
CEA
20%
27%
53%
89 80 9 0