Atl. Nacional vs Veraguas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
3º
30
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
5 - 0
SAP
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 2
NAC
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 3
IDC
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UFC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Veraguas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VCD
4 - 1
IDC
19%
23%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
VCD
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AFM
1 - 0
VCD
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VCD
6 - 0
ACH
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 3
VCD
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |