Atl. Nacional vs Atl. Chiriquí II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
3º
0
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AFM
0 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 1
NAC
14%
21%
66%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
VCD
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
5 - 0
SAP
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 2
NAC
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 2
UFC
19%
19%
62%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SFF
6 - 0
ACH
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
6 - 1
ACH
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDP
8 - 1
ACH
75%
17%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 9
OES
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -3 |