Scunthorpe United vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
SCU
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 2
SCU
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
SCU
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
POS
1 - 2
SCU
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SCU
0 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
HYD
0 - 3
WOR
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 0
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
TOW
0 - 3
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 1
LEA
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COV
1 - 2
WOR
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |