Scunthorpe United vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SCU
3 - 1
LEY
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BRA
0 - 1
SCU
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 2
SCU
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SCU
1 - 2
BHA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NTT
0 - 4
SCU
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 1
POR
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
NOR
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
HUR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
TRA
1 - 2
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
POR
1 - 3
ROT
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |