Scunthorpe United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 0
SCU
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 3
SCU
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
MKD
0 - 0
SCU
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
SCU
1 - 1
MKD
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SCU
1 - 1
TRA
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GUL
2 - 0
CHE
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 2
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 1
GIL
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LUT
0 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |