SW Bregenz vs Admira Dornbirn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
16
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 3
SWB
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SWB
0 - 5
SKA
5%
11%
84%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SWB
0 - 2
HOH
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
RTB
0 - 4
SWB
29%
21%
50%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SWB
5 - 1
EGG
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Admira Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ADM
2 - 1
ROT
61%
18%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 2
ADM
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 1
ADM
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
ADM
2 - 3
SCG
70%
15%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 1
ADM
20%
20%
60%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |