Schotz vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
77.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
THU
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BUM
1 - 2
SCH
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
4 - 1
MUT
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LAU
2 - 4
SCH
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 2
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
YOB
1 - 0
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BEL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NEX
3 - 4
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |