Schermbeck vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+161%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
STA
3 - 1
SCH
47%
21%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
ZWE
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 2
RBE
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
3 - 3
SCH
62%
18%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
PAD
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ERK
2 - 0
RBE
54%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ERK
2 - 1
PAD
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LIP
1 - 3
ERK
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +4 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ERK
4 - 0
ERH
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
STA
2 - 2
ERK
20%
20%
61%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |