Obrera vs Novelda C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
OBR
68%
16%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OBR
4 - 3
RSG
59%
18%
23%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ELD
5 - 4
OBR
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
OBR
2 - 3
GSV
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RAC
5 - 1
OBR
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CIU
3 - 0
NOV
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
INM
8 - 0
NOV
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 4
CAR
26%
21%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
RSG
2 - 2
NOV
44%
22%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
4 - 8
ELD
4%
9%
87%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |