Scarborough Athletic vs Northwich Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
71.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 1
SCA
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DRO
4 - 2
SCA
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
SCA
1 - 2
OSS
33%
26%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SCA
0 - 3
BUR
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SCA
2 - 4
DRO
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 1
WIT
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
CLI
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 2
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 2
NOR
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
NOR
5 - 1
MOS
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |