Penedense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 1
CRB
17%
20%
62%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CSE
2 - 0
PEN
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 3
COR
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ASA
0 - 2
PEN
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
ASA
2 - 0
PEN
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
CSA
1 - 0
CSE
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
30%
25%
46%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
CSA
3 - 1
ASA
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
COR
1 - 1
CSA
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SPO
0 - 1
CSA
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |