Olhanense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 1
BMA
49%
28%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
OLH
4 - 1
OLI
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 1
OLH
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 0
OLH
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
VST
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 2
PAD
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 30 | 50 | 0 |