SC NEC vs AFC Arhem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DEB
3 - 2
SCN
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SCN
0 - 0
JUL
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SCN
2 - 2
ACH
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
SCN
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SCN
3 - 4
SWZ
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARH
1 - 2
GER
51%
21%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SWZ
7 - 0
ARH
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARH
2 - 5
DEB
46%
22%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARH
3 - 4
ROH
27%
22%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARH
2 - 1
ACH
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |