Jaraguá vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 0
IPO
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
JAR
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 3
GOI
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
25%
26%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
APA
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 2
APA
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
2 - 1
APA
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |