SC Freiburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 1
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SCF
2 - 5
BRE
37%
23%
39%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AUG
1 - 1
SCF
33%
26%
42%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 1
HOF
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
EIN
1 - 2
SCF
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
M05
2 - 3
RBL
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ING
2 - 1
M05
30%
26%
45%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
M05
1 - 1
KSC
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
M05
0 - 1
S04
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
M05
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |