Saumur vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAU
1 - 1
ASC
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAU
1 - 2
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAU
18%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SAU
2 - 2
FON
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SPG
0 - 4
SAU
17%
19%
65%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ACP
1 - 3
FON
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FON
0 - 0
CHA
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LEM
0 - 2
FON
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SAU
2 - 2
FON
58%
22%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FON
0 - 3
ESO
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -2 |