Épinal vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1998 |
LUS
3 - 0
SPI
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
AJA
5 - 0
SPI
80%
15%
5%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
SPI
0 - 1
ANG
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPI
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
SPI
1 - 0
RAC
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1998 |
THO
3 - 0
RAC
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
STM
2 - 0
THO
56%
23%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
THO
0 - 0
ANG
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
SED
1 - 1
THO
76%
17%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
THO
0 - 0
SDL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |