Épinal vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 0
SPI
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VAN
2 - 0
SPI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
SPI
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
BOU
2 - 1
SPI
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CAB
2 - 1
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
UZE
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
QUE
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LUZ
2 - 2
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LPS
1 - 1
MET
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |