Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
12º
10º
24
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 62 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 62 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 55 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 51 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 43 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 42 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 39 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
43.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
50% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 14 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
VIF
4 - 0
S08
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
HAU
3 - 2
S08
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
S08
1 - 4
BBS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SDF
3 - 2
S08
37%
24%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
S08
2 - 2
RBK
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kristiansund BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
KRI
2 - 2
SDF
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
KRI
0 - 5
KFU
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SDF
6 - 0
KRI
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
KRI
0 - 0
S08
29%
25%
47%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
LSK
2 - 0
KRI
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |