Sarmiento vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
RIV
2 - 1
SAR
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
SAR
3 - 3
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
NOB
2 - 0
SAR
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
SAR
2 - 0
SLO
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CAU
0 - 1
SAR
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
VEL
2 - 2
PLA
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
HUR
1 - 1
VEL
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOC
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
TAL
2 - 3
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
VEL
3 - 2
RAC
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |