Sarmiento vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SUA
2 - 0
SAR
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 0
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAR
71%
20%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
MOR
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
SAR
51%
27%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
MOR
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 1
BRO
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
SUA
59%
25%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 2
ALM
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |