Sarm. Resistencia vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.8%
59%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 1
SAR
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAR
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
SOL
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +4 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 2
SAR
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +3 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
CFE
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
SOL
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 0
CFE
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAF
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 2
SAR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
GAF
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |