Sarmiento II vs Boca Juniors II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 0
SAR
53%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SLO
3 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
ARG
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
GLP
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
GOC
3 - 1
SAR
37%
24%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 1
NOB
38%
25%
38%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 1
BOC
50%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 0
ALD
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
BOC
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 0
RIV
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |