Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 3-1
Sarmiento La Banda vs San Martín De El Bañado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SMB
0 - 1
SAR
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SAR
4 - 1
CBA
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAR
4 - 1
AVB
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SDG
0 - 9
SAR
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CBA
0 - 3
SAR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín De El Bañado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SMB
0 - 1
SAR
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SMB
4 - 1
CDI
63%
18%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CPC
2 - 4
SMB
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SMB
2 - 0
IEA
60%
19%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDI
3 - 1
SMB
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |