Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 0-2
Sarajevo vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAR
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
HKG
0 - 0
SAR
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
DZZ
0 - 2
SAR
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
SAR
0 - 2
OSA
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2001 |
TRA
1 - 0
SAR
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
BMA
2 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
3 - 1
VST
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAR
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SCP
1 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |