São Paulo RS vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
AIM
2 - 0
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 0
PAN
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAR
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ISM
3 - 2
FAR
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
GAU
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |