São Paulo RS vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 1
NOV
22%
25%
54%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAO
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 4
BRA
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 0
ESP
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 2
PEL
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SLU
2 - 1
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 0
ESP
85%
12%
3%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | -1 |