São Paulo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 3
VAS
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 2
PPE
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
POR
1 - 3
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
VAS
4 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
3 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 0
BAH
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |