São Paulo vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 1
BRA
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
SAO
11%
17%
72%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 5
SAO
8%
16%
77%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 4
SAO
13%
21%
67%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOG
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
STR
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
CAT
92%
6%
2%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
16%
22%
61%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |