São Paulo vs RB Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 2
SAO
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRB
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAO
12%
22%
67%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
RBB
0 - 0
PPE
18%
24%
59%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
RBB
0 - 0
SAO
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 0
RBB
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
RBB
1 - 1
COR
18%
26%
57%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
RBB
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |